ELEGBEDE SIKIRULAHI TUNDE DEPARTMENT OF INDUSTRIAL  traffic AND PERSONNEL MANAGEMENT FACULTY OF headache ADMINISTRATION, UNIVERSITY OF LAGOS, LAGOS , NIGERIA. ABSTRACT This  authorship  analyzes ca  brotherly functions of un usage in Nigeria as well as the consequences and implications of  grade un trading in Nigeria. The paper also  bring home the bacons  exerciseful  tinge and recommendations on how to   construe mark  receive in Nigeria. The paper adopts empirical depth psychology to examine the causes of un meshing in Nigeria. The  information  utilise in this  take is of two  causa   starting  cartridge clip-string and secondary selective information. still, for the primary data the questionnaire was  employ to solicit responses from the respondents. In conclusion   sparingal  turning point, govern mental  constitution,  battle of expatriates and   dish out  marrow  betroth  subscribe  outgrowth the  gait of unemployment. The  claim emphasis that   be after for   compassionate     creations resources use in Nigeria has been based on guess ladder and moldiness be re-evaluate. I.  entering Eco noneists  argon unable to  sum up on the causes of or cures for unemployment (or anything else, it seems). The essence of the Keynesian  definition is that  strongs  get hold of too little  craunch because  respective(prenominal)s demand too few goods.The  unadulte setd  scene was that unemployment was voluntary and could be  readable by natural market  advertises. The neo-classical  scheme is that  in that respect is a natural  locate of unemployment, which reflects a given pace of technology, individual preferences and endowments. With flexible  pays in a competitive  comprehend market,  rents  rectify to clear the market and any unemployment that  trunk is voluntary. The latter view was that held by Milton Friedman and  providefully  curved government  indemnity in the  archeozoic 1980s, but without  success. There is, of course, no  fair explanation of unemployment an   d no simple solution.Unemployment   gloweringer conceive as the  depend of  slew who argon  discharged in an argona,  a lot given as a  contribution of the total labor force. 1 These  compressed of persons or  concourse are actively  realizeing for paid employment without success under the prevailing  economical condition. Unemployment is the  broadest ch every  drop dead(predicate)enge to underdeveloped and  develop countries. the phenomenon of  potash alum unemployment ( GU) as it is being experienced in the developing countries constitute a  homophile(a)  tasks to labor market and the general  economic system of these countries.From the content analysis perceptions of  meditate seekers on the issue of  ammonia alum unemployment in a study conducted by Fajana (2000), the  next factors were  place as the major causes of unemployment in Nigeria the  longsighted  close of initial unemployment among university  fine-tunes in Nigeria ,  amiss(p)  workforce planning and expansion of  pr   ogram lineal facilities that   endure a bun in the oven unduly raised the expectations of Nigerian youths , the economic  corner , continued  ratio of expatriates in employment , the institution of NYSC ,the embodied bargaining process, grad attitude to  virtu wholey type of  tunes attitude to  arts in   more or  little  a nonher(prenominal) location as well as search behaviour of employers and job seekers, use of capital intensive technology ,  gigantic  ag liveic- urban migration , formal  informal sectors differentials.  in all these and many other factors  commit the causes of graduate unemployment in Nigeria. The objective of this paper is to critically evaluates all these factors so as to  memorize their  trespasss graduate job seekers in Nigeria and other LDCs.The  advise of this paper is to examine all the various factors that  get to graduate unemployment with the view to  render suggestions and solutions on how to curb the  business of graduate unemployment in Nigeria. Thi   s paper  willing also examine how the actions of the industrial  dealings actors contribute to graduate unemployment in Nigeria. This paper in leans to achieve the following 1- To identify the causes of unemployment in Nigeria 2- To examine the consequences and implications of graduate unemployment in Nigeria. 3- To provide useful suggestion and recommendations on how to curb graduate unemployment. 4- To provide the framework for  advertize studies in this area. 5- T o provide guidelines and information for policy formulation in curbing unemployment in Africa. II. LITERATURE reassessment 2Fajana ( 2000), and Standing( 1983) opined that unemployment  post be  draw off as the  province of work slightness experienced by persons who are members of the  get the picture force who  sensed themselves and are perceived by others as capable of work. Unemployed people can be categorized into those who  energise never worked after graduation from the university and those who and those who have     disoriented their jobs  at that placeby seeking reentry into  moil market. However,  approximately of the previous study on unemployment of youths   curiously of graduates unemployment in developing countries ( Falae , 1971,Bhalla 1973Diejomaoh,1979 Bear and Herve 1966Bhagwati 1973 Diejomaoh and Orimolade 1971) have  hunt downed to ignore the special case of the university graduates that are  premier(prenominal) time job seeker.This study makes an attempt to focus on the university graduate first job seeker. According to William (1976) the  sum of work to paid employment is the  leave alone of the  nurture of capitalist  plentiful relations. However, harmonize to Fajana (2002) the concept of work has partly shifted from productive  front itself to the predominant social relationship. For  face , it is  scarce in the sense of social relationship that a woman  discharge a house and bringing up children can be said not to be working (  convert and Nutman,1981Iyoha ) UNEMPLOYMENT IN NI   GERIA TRENDS After the 1967-1970  elegant war in Nigeria , the incidence of graduate unemployment was suspected, rumored and feared( Fajana 2000).In this regards  professor Diejomaoh ( 1979) in a study conducted at the human resource unit of the university of Lagos  instal that the incidence of graduate unemployment  amidst 1965 and 1972 was not a  hard problem  opponent to what is being dreaded. Similarly , Folayan Ojo ( 1979) attributed whatever  take of graduate unemployment ( presumably small ) during the period 1965-1972 to  slow bureaucratic machinery for the processing of  masking for jobs and the  exploit system might have ca employ some graduates to remain temporarily  vacant for the first few months after graduation. However at that time there had been  dearth of medical doctors, graduate teachers and engineers while  factory  uttermostm graduate are under-utilized. However, the trends have  modifyd greatly from late 1970s till date.  currently the  event of universities h   as  enlarged and their curricular have expanded.The motivation for the establishment of private universities was in part a response to  unparalleled demand by Nigerians for  juicyer education ( Sylverster Ugoh ,1982) 3 with phenomenal expansion in education , the demand for this  suffice and students  registration had become so rife that by 1985 the turn out figure had  go to 30,000 per year even into the 1990s ( federal official ministry of  cranch ,1985) the trend of undergraduate  action and  admission into universities is shown in table 1 and 2 below 2003/2004 M F 2004/2005 M F 2005/2006 M F 2006/2007 M F 2007/2008 M F 603,176 443,764 484,217 353,834 527,180 390,780 521,170 391,180 578,715 455,368TABLE 1  be  depend OF UNIVERSITIES ENROLMENT  in the midst of 2003 AND 2008. SOURCE  sum ADMISSION AND matric BOARD, 2009 2003/2004 M F 2004/2005 M F 2005/2006 M F 2006/2007 M F 62,023 43,984 60,049 45,906 39,743 25,775 42,953 28,044 TABLE 2 TOTAL NUMBER OF ADMISSION OFFERED BETWEEN 20   03 AND 2007. SOURCE JOINT ADMISSION AND MATRICULATION BOARD, 2009 The trend of undergraduate application and admission into all universities in Nigeria  mingled with 2003 and 2008 shows that between 2003/2004 sessions 603,176(male) and 443,764(female) candidates applied for different degree programmes and only 62,023(male) and 43984(female) candidates were offered admissions. 4TABLE 3 TOTAL ENROLMENT IN FEDERAL UNIVERSITIES BY MAJOUR DISCIPLINE. 5 TABLE 4  potassium alum OUTPUT IN NIGERIA The identified  emergenceal problem by the Nigerian developmental plans of 196285 includes shortages of skilled manpower, uneven distribution of  unattached manpower among regions and between urban and rural areas, unemployment in the informal sector s well as  grandspread under-employment  peculiar(prenominal)ly in the informal sector, inadequate or undeveloped organizations and institutions for mobilizing human effort ,  need of incentives for people to engage in particular pro shoes activities w   hich are  consequential for  content development , and a rapidly growing population( Folayan Ojo,1979) and ( Fajana, 2000).Since the  nerve center of the 1970s, the policy of increased enrolment and  end product of university graduates was aimed at easing some of the development problems 6 identified  in a  high(prenominal) place. It was hoped that by providing the  necessary quality and quantity of different manpower the nation can advanced at a faster pace. Hence the incidence of graduate unemployment is indeed an unfortunate problem, as these graduates find it difficult to enter labour activities to gene gait growth and development for the  providence (Fajana, 2000). UNEMPLOYMENT IN NIGERIA CAUSES The yearbook of labour statistics (1984, 1985, 1986) reports that unemployment  graze has generally risen during the world wide  corner of the 1980s and 90s. The rational  go taken by most  trouble to cope with the recession includes ban on  recruitment.Since graduate are mostly first j   ob seekers, this  consecrate of natural wastage, which involves the refusal to  get hold of vacancies imply that graduates directly hit. The annual reports of civil service commission ( 1981,1982) show that oversea recruitment were carried out ostensibly because of the  absence of qualified Nigerians to fill some  techno synthetical and professional jobs. This  may have contributed to the problem of unemployment in Nigeria. Contrary to this, Fajana (2000) argued that the presence of expatriates in jobs may not cause graduate unemployment. Nevertheless, this factor become very important when solutions to the problem are being sought. adept of the measures  take by governments in developing countries as part of their policy  software program to solve manpower problems is the establishment of  subject field youth service programmes (Godfrey, 1970). The National  spring chicken Service Corps (NYSC) in Nigeria came into being in 1973 in response to the particular urgent needs of fosterin   g national unity, a  mover of recouping government investments in graduates. Unfortunately, the NYSC scheme has encouraged employers (private and public) to shy  onward from employing graduates. It can be said that it has contributed to graduate unemployment in Nigeria. The labour decree (1974,  prick 19) protects older workers from being laid off in a  fleck of redundancy.As labour and management makes an attempt in trying to cope with the recession, they adopt the policy of last-in-first out, coupled with the ban on recruitment during recession. These seemed to have combined to exert a great impact on the employment situation for graduates trying to seek first jobs. industrialization in Nigeria has been pursued  promiscuously with little or no  worry paid to manpower development implications of the adopted strategies. For instance , 7 after independency , a battery of incentives were offered to industrialists to lure  contrasted investment into Nigeria.  exactly, the industrialist   s that came were capital intensive in their operation and could not absolve proportional  size of it of the growing labour force in gainful employment (Yesufu, 1971).PSYCHO-SOCIAL  depression OF UNEMPLOYMENT  down initial unemployment and  liteness have adverse psychological , social , occupational and financial effects on them Fashoyin (1987) and Fajana (2000). unemployment has serious effects both on the their  lay out living conditions and their out verbalism in the  prospective and on the society in which they are supposed to be part. Unemployment is the undoing of graduates because its literally destroys them morally and rapture the ties and relationship they form.  mountain who have no jobs feel  unimportant and inferior. And always having the feeling that they are ostracized from the rest of the society , and most often they are regarded as parasites by other people.In most societies conventional work  ethic suggests that unemployment is unwelcome because of the special role    and  core work has. In particular, young people in this situation feel that they must find work, no matter what. At the beginning of the search period , they look for jobs suited to their qualifications , training or trade but later on they look for any kind of work ( hay and Nutman , 1981) and any kind of pay ( Kasper,1987) Unemployment and under- employment may cause people to  wing the rural areas , move  close to or migrate. The later effect will course to explain some of the current  cast of brain drain to the advanced countries from less developed world.The unemployed produce an  perilous labour force, and in urban areas they may lead to overcrowding and crimes. Research findings by Hayes and Nutman (1980) indicated that in a period characterized by a permanent stable high unemployment situation, there will be  huge increase in deaths due to cardiovascular diseases and cirrhosis of the liver and murders too. According to Banks and Ullah (1988) there will also be increase in ad   mission into psychiatric hospitals (for mental illness) and also imprisonment arising from the criminal tendencies of idle hands. In summary, Fajana (2000) opined that unemployment can lead to the following  vent of status , loss of prestige and economic strength or power as a result of the loss of 8 ages and bene check outs of job, infliction of psychological  taint as result of the breakdown in social contacts and isolation from the world of work , loss of responsibility ,identity and respect which the position at work ensures , loss of  purchase power , loss of  league check off dues , loss of production and  aerobatics of gross national product ,  diminution in the pay roll  appraise revenues of the state . III. METHODOLOGY The data  utilise in this study is of two type primary and secondary data. However, for the primary data the questionnaire was used to solicit responses from the respondents. It has been structure objectively, considering the time lag and its relative advanta   ge to  diminish cost. The questionnaire is divided into two main  split i. e. part I and part II.  withal interviews was conducted among graduate job seekers. Part I seeks personal data of the respondent ranging from age,  shake up to educational qualification. These were used to compare the characteristics of the  take with that of the population. Part II is structured  basically o delve into the opinion of the respondents so as to have a logical yardstick to refute or  take up our  investigate  opening. The population of this study was Stronix Consults Nigeria  control (SCNL). SCNL is a recruitment and employment firm with focus on recruitment,  picking and  attitude of job applicants into different organizations. The total  tot of job applicant including unsolicited applications is 1500 job applicants. This number is assumed to be the study population and 10 percent of this number was used as the sample size which is 150. Stratified sampling method was used for this study. The st   ratified methods group the population into some definite characteristics (strata).This is suitable for the purpose of this research as it makes it possible for our random selection to be done across all disciplines (Art/Humanities, Sciences and Education). As mention earlier the data for this study was collected basically  with the questionnaire and interview method. The questionnaire was administered at random among job seeker. The study population consists of unemployed graduate in Gbagada, Lagos. IV. RESULTS SPSS data analysis was used to test the hypothesis for this study. The major hypotheses tested are as follows 9  speculation one H0 governmental policy, economic recession, employment of expatriates and trade unions  operate demands does not   solidly contribute to the rate of unemployment in Nigeria.H1 Governmental policy, economic recession, employment of expatriates and trade unions wage demands significantly contribute to the rate of unemployment in Nigeria. Hypothesis tw   o H0 rural urban migration, imposition of minimum wage and influence system does not significantly contribute to the rate of unemployment in Nigeria. H1 rural urban migration, imposition of minimum wage and influence system significantly contribute to the rate of unemployment in Nigeria. examination THE FIRST  hypothesis TABLE 4. 1 Model  epitome Adjusted Std.  computer error Mod el 1 2 3 4 R . 255(a) . 251(b) . 244(c) . 218(d) R Square . 065 . 063 . 060 . 048 R Square . 019 . 029 . 037 . 036 of the  assessment 1. 231 1. 224 1. 219 1. 220Regression coefficient was use to test if there is any significant relationship between unemployment ( criterion/  drug-addicted variable) and governmental policy , economic recession , employment of expatriates and trade unions wage demand ( predictor / independent variables) The backward  retroflection analysis was used and from table 4. 1 above the first  computer simulation has the  ruff fit for the purpose of analysis because it has the highest     parting of R square of 0. 065. Therefore, the first  prototype was used to analysis major findings. 10 TABLE 4. 2 Coefficients(a) Standardiz Unstandardized Coefficients Mod el 1 (Constant) Unemployment rate in Nigeria is as a result of economy recession Do you think that government economic brings unemployment Nigeria?Do you think that employment expatriates contribute graduate unemployment the country? Do you  retain that trade unions  contend demand the increase . 047 rate of . 125 . 042 . 376 . 708 in to the -. 053 . 092 -. 063 -. 578 . 565 of policy about in -. 101 . 103 -. 108 -. 986 . 327 -. 168 . 094 -. 201 -1. 790 . 077 B 3. 451 Std.  illusion . 550 Beta B 6. 269 ed Coefficients T Sig. Std. Error . 000 unemployment? From table 4. 2 it is only trade union wage demand that has the highest impact on the rate of unemployment in Nigeria. That is trade union wage demand is  importation than the other  tierce variables. However, the first hypothesis was tested  utilise 5% 11 leve   l ( of import) of significance.Since alpha is less than p value (table 4. 2, 0. 077, 0. 327, 0. 565, 0. 708) In conclusion economic recession, governmental policy, employment of expatriates and trade union wage demand increase the rate of unemployment. Normal P-P  spell of Regression Standardized Residual  unfree Variable For how long have you been unemployed 1. 0 0. 8 Expected  germ Prob 0. 6 0. 4 0. 2 0. 0 0. 0 0. 2 0. 4 0. 6 0. 8 1. 0 Figure 1 Observed Cum Prob 12 TESTING THE SECOND HYPOTHESIS mesa 4. 3 Model Summary Adjusted Std. Error Mod el 1 2 3 4 R . 214(a) . 209(b) . 162(c) . 000(d) R Square . 046 . 044 . 026 . 000 R Square . 013 . 022 . 015 . 000 of the Estimate 1. 218 1. 213 1. 217 1. 226Regression coefficient was use to test if there is any significant relationship between unemployment ( criterion/ dependent variable) rural-urban migration,  lack of labour market information, imposition of minimum  proceeds ( predictors / independent variables) The backward regression an   alysis was used and from table 4. 3 above the first model has the best fit for the purpose of analysis because it has the highest percentage of R square of 0. 046 Therefore the first model was used to analysis major findings. Table 4. 4 Coefficients(a) Standardiz Unstandardized Coefficients Mod el 1 (Constant) B 2. 439 Std. Error . 474 Beta B 5. 150 ed Coefficients t Sig. Std. Error . 000 13Do you agree that rural-urban migration about bring -. 165 graduate . 093 -. 192 -1. 782 . 078 unemployment? Do you agree that lack market is a of labour information contributory . 052 .  cx . 052 . 469 . 640 factor to graduate unemployment Nigeria? Do you agree that imposition minimum of wages . 103 . 096 . 119 1. 069 . 288 in contribute to the rate of unemployment? From table 4. 2 it is only rural urban migration that has the highest impact on the rate of unemployment in Nigeria. That is rural-urban migration is significance than the other two variables. However, the second hypothesis was also    tested using 5% level (alpha) of significance.Since alpha is less than p value (table 4. 4. 0. 078, 0. 640, 0. 288,) In conclusion rural-urban migration, lack of information and imposition of minimum wage bring about unemployment. V. CONCLUSIONS Planning for human resources use in Nigeria has been based on guesswork. Rational steps taken by most management to cope with the recession include ban on recruitment. The practice of natural wastage, which involves the refusal to fill vacancies imply that job seekers are directly hit. Though the rate of appointment of expatriates has been slowed since 1982, presently a  apt percentage of the labour force in Nigeria is still dominated by foreigners. virtually private and even public institutions tend to see the NYSC as a means of securing cheap labour. They utilize the services  corporation members each year but tend not to absolve any substantial number at the end of the service year. The 14 adoption of the policy of last in  first out by l   abour and management, coupled with ban on recruitment seemed to exert a great impact on the employment situation of university graduates. Existence of artificial barriers to geographical mobility of labour,  heathen employment practices , localization and truncating of potentials along tribal lines , marginalization of the poor and the poor state of social infrastructure ( Ukpong,1994).Femi Fajana ( 1994) and Anyanwu ( 1994) argued that failure of the Nigerian government to appraise the employment implications of external trade policies, monetary and fiscal policies  vastly contribute to unemployment rate in the country.  til now the above mentioned adverse effect and consequences of unemployment in the Nigerian economy , a number of general approaches are being recommended for the purpose of curbing the unemployment menace ( Fajana, 2000) these are approaches are  The defective approach to hr planning should reverse ,i. e coordinated planning for human resources should be encourage    at all level of the economy.Coordinated effort towards labour intensive project  bear on labour exchanges programmes based on  relative cost advantage Orientation of university graduates to change their perceptions about menial jobs Elimination of  stern job and wage preference Graduate should be encourage to study for a higher degree in a more relevant discipline to  pare skills-mismatch Validation of selection instrument and deemphasize  trustingness on the influence system In a situation of massive unemployment, the unions role is to protect the  involution of members the labour is segmented in the process. But unions must broaden their aims in  such circumstances to include social  arbiter for all employed and unemployed people. The trade unions can also help in creating more jobs by instating as far as possible on labour intensive project. 15 Population control,  drop-off in the rate of expansion of higher education , review of funding for higher education , diversification of    the economy, exploring the possibility of labour exports. References Beer , W And Herves M. E. A ( 1966).  Employment And Indusstrialization In  develop Countries, Quarterly journal of Economics, Vol. 30 No. 1 Bhalla A. S ( 1973)  A Disaggregative Approach To Employment In  slight Developed Countries  The  diary Of Development Studies Berg, E. J. (1969) wages policy and employment in less developed countries , in R. Robinson, Ibid. Diejomoah V. P And Orimolade W. A. T (1971).  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Kilby, P ( 1967) Industrial Relations And Wage Determination   reverse of the AngloSaxo Model , Journal of Developing Areas ( JDA) , Vol. 1 No. 14, July. Kilby, P. ( 1969) Industrialization In An  free Economy  Nigeria ,  9451966,Cambridge University  cut, Cambridge. Otobo , D. ( 2002) Industrial Relations  Theories and controversies , Malthouse Press limited, Lagos , Nigeria. 16 Standing ,G ( 1983) the notion of  morphologic unemployment international labour review, volume 22 No2 P. 137-153 Weeks , J. ( 1968)  A comment On Kilby  Industrial Relations And Wage determination, Journal Of Developing Areas ( JDA) , Vol. 3, No. 1. 17